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  • [edit] Chuck-a-luck [edit] If the 'Banker' has an initial total of 4, the 'Banker' draws another card when the 'Player's' third card is a 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 or 7. Blackjack is a mathematical game. Given a dealer upcard and your hand, there's always just one move you should make. Perfect Blackjack tells you what the correct move is. If the 'Banker' has an initial total of 5, the 'Banker' draws another card when the 'Player's' third card is a 4, 5, 6, or 7. Poker is a game of people... It's not the hand I hold, it's the people that I play with. - Amarillo Slim Last night I stayed up late playing poker with Tarot cards. I got a full house and four people died. - Steven Wright Rsp = suRrender if allowed, otherwise SPlit The guy who invented poker was bright, but the guy who invented the chip was a genius. - Big Julie When you're betting online, most experts advise that unless you have a good system in place, you should limit your bets to a few spins and wager more per spin. This advise is based on the idea that statistically, the longer you play, the higher the odds are that you will lose money. Poker is a game of people... It's not the hand I hold, it's the people that I play with. - Amarillo Slim Million Dollar Blackjack, Ken Uston, 1981 This is the fallacious step in the argument. If the coin is fair, then by definition the probability of tails must always be .5, never more (or less), and the probability of heads must always be .5, never less (or more). While a run of five heads is only 1 in 32 (0.03125), it is 1 in 32 before the coin is first tossed. After the first four tosses the results are no longer unknown, so they don't count. The probability of five consecutive heads is the same as four successive heads followed by one tails. Tails is no more likely. Each of the two possible outcomes has equal probability no matter how many times the coin has been flipped previously and no matter what the result. Reasoning that it is more likely that the next toss will be a tail than a head due to the past tosses is the fallacy. The fallacy is the idea that a run of luck in the past somehow influences the odds of a bet in the future. Details about the order of play and hand rankings for the most common variants can be found in the articles on betting, hand rankings, and poker variants. Most popular poker variants can be loosely classified as draw poker, stud poker, or community card poker (a.k.a. "widow games"), though other miscellaneous poker games exist as well. The most commonly played games in these categories are five-card draw, seven-card stud, and Texas hold 'em, respectively; each being a common starting point for learning games of the type. The gambler's fallacy can be illustrated by considering the repeated toss of a coin. With a fair coin the chances of getting heads are exactly 0.5 (a half). The chances of it coming up heads twice in a row are 0.5?0.5=0.25 (a quarter). The probability of three heads in a row is 0.5?0.5×0.5= 0.125 (an eighth) and so on. When the probability of each event is not even, such as with a loaded die, a number which has come up more often in the past may very well continue to do so, if that number is favored by the weighting of the dice. This has been dubbed Nerd's Gullibility Fallacy -- assuming the coin indeed is fair and the gamblers are honest when it isn't the case. This is an example of Hume's principle: twenty times tails on row implies that it is far more likely that the premise of a fair coin is wrong and coin is forged, than that the initial premise is correct and the next toss will be fifty-fifty heads or tails. Despite its simplicity (or perhaps because of it), the punto banco version of baccarat offers some of the lowest house advantage available in a casino. The player bet has a house advantage of 1.24%, and the banker bet (despite the 5% commission) has an advantage of 1.06%. The tie bet has a much higher house advantage of 14.44%, based on six decks in play. [1] Rh = suRrender if allowed, otherwise hit It might be pointed out that where economic activity is concentrated in transfers of wealth rather than its creation, gambler's ruin results in most of the wealth being held by a very small number of participants. We see this in the stock market when speculative activity is the norm rather than long-term dividend producing investment If the method's freely available why do you need to buy the casino scalping ebook? Knock-Out Blackjack, Olaf Vancura and Ken Fuchs, 1998, ISBN 0929712315 the display doesn't ruin your eyesight. But online gambling is a notable exception. At most online casinos either the software doesn't work with Macs, or the casino is shady and you wouldn't want to play at anyway. I've been trying to find a Mac-compatible online casino off and on since 2000, without much success. But now (2005) things are getting a whole lot better. Arnold Snyder's articles in Blackjack Forum magazine were the first to bring Shuffle Tracking to the general public. The following rules are beneficial to the player: [edit]

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  • 2006-01-08, 13:20

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